The real reason for Chinese aggression in the South China Sea - Food Security
While many will say it’s about a militarised rising power flexing it’s muscles, seeing various analysis of the situation is like watching Donald Trump talk about himself and saying “there is no one who fights more for women’s right than Donald Trump”.
My point is, most fail to understand the historic influences of the ruling party of China and what their actions stem from; famine and war.
Now I could be entirely wrong, but the following is my opinion and not based on the thoughts of others.
Point 1. A huge part of China is mountainous, while 20% the arable land is so polluted, that it’s unusable.
Point 2. Not so long ago, China experienced a mass famine killing 15-45 million people.
Point 3. Per hectare of land, rice produces about 11 million calories per acre, while wheat produces around 4 million. Which is a major reason why China has such a high population level and why losing 20% of your land is so important for food security, with such a large demand.
Now these three points are key, as; if you don't have food security, you have the real possibility of famine, you an aggressive rival power (US) building military bases around you and who can cut off your food supply, you have little other choice but to protect your country and ensure food security.
This is unfortunately due to the US history of blockades or sanctions and especially in the region. Cuba, North Korea, Iran…… it goes on and on. But more importantly are the sanctions imposed on Russia and more than that, the US blockade of Japan before the onset of WW2.
China has ploughed huge funds into Africa, to secure agriculture supply and the transport route for that food supply. For any country, if it’s China, Japan, USA, UK or anyone else, the top priority is food security. The US however is the most food secure country in the world and so, it does not have the same issues of a globalised food supply like other countries.
As it happens the US has 800 Military bases around the world, containing China, Russia, Iran and a few other countries, yet those countries have few military bases themselves in other countries by comparison. This is the definition on imperialism, when one country has military bases in other countries.
Now if the US was in a similar situation, where China could quite easily cut of it’s food supply, what would it do? If US actions speak about national defence of the US mainland, while going into Iraq, Afghanistan, Libya, Syria etc then would any country without a strong US friendship risk the possibility of a US blockade? I think not.
If you have the US consistently saying there will be a future war with China, can you imagine hearing this and not ensuring you could secure your food supply? As a Gov. you would be irresponsible to do anything but what they are currently doing. But don’t get me wrong, I do not agree with what their doing, but I’m explaining this is due to the actions of the US.
The US is the most food secure country in the world, but China is not.
Below is a map showing in 2017 and the people in these countries were asked, “What country poses the greatest threat to world peace?” I will leave you to make your own conclusion.
Do I think China is doing what is responsible for it’s people, based on the history of the US and it’s recent wars and actions? Yes.
Do I agree with their actions? No.
Do I think China is an innocent? No.
Do I think the “American Dream” is now the “Chinese Dream”? Yes. Which I also think the concept of the "American Dream" is one of the greatest catastrophes in the history of man kind, which keep people believing one day they can be the 1%, when in actuality it's all about selfishness and nothing about the benefit of your fellow man or society.
Do I agree with China and how it took over HK, Tibet and how it deals with Taiwan, well I have my own views on that which would be another article all together.
Noam Chomcky is widely regarded as one of the greatest minds in the world and a US Citizen and say’s “The US, is the greatest terrorist”.
The current Gov. in China has experienced or their parents have experienced famine and this must be an overriding thought of anyone who has experienced it.
Recent history of Famine + history of invasion + 20% loss of arable land + strongest navy in the world surrounding your food supply routes + largest military in the world seeing you as a rival + History of the US and blockades + weakening Chinese economy + weakening US superpower + rising Chinese military power + Chinese conflict over disputed Islands with it’s biggest rival in the region and protected militarily by the US + Lack of trust in the US to actually back Japan if a conflict happened = A very unstable situation.
Something to bare in mind - I have lived in the US and I have been to China many times, while I have been there I have given a key note address on the future of architecture, in front of the Chinese Undersecretary of the Community Party (At the national stadium - Birds Nest Stadium) and said I expected the Economy to self implode, due to ghost cities and unsustainable economic policies and said it would have a huge hit within 2 years. It actually happened 6 months after my speech.
The Chinese Economic model was copied from the US in the 80's and if they continue this, the only answer to great economic recession in the US, has historically been, WAR.
Chinese and US economic policies don't work and never have. If you look to Scandinavian, the German and Japanese Economic policies, you can advert huge conflict and model your own economy on the successful and peaceful ones.
Drawn your own conclusision from the images below.